"It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends upon his not understanding." - Upton Sinclair
 |
 |
| Global Warming Denial Machine |
Please read A Response to Climate Change Denialism by Richard Somerville, a distinguished professor emeritus and research professor at Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UC San Diego, and also Global Warming Deniers and Their Proven Strategy of Doubt and then continue below.
The sections below highlight the AGW Denial Machine and its efforts to try to convince policy makers and the general public that the massive scientific evidence for man-made global warming is either false or a "hoax". Many of these denialists are supported by the fossil fuel industry and other companies that stand to lose money if the world gets "greener". However, there are many well-intentioned people who just do not "believe" that humans can cause the world's climate to change because they either do not have access to the peer-reviewed literature (where climate experts communicate their research) or, if they do, they find these journal articles too difficult to read. Instead these well-intentioned people seek their information from more user-friendly avenues such as Websites, books, television, and radio. The problem is that these portals are not typically where the experts in climate science publish. Instead, these are the portals where "misinformation" can be easily spread. Please view the Suggested Reading page where I have listed Web documents, blogs, and books that will provide the current scientific research in a fairly easy to read format (which is the goal of this Website).
Union of Concerned Scientists Exposes ExxonMobil Funded Organizations & Spokespeople:
The Union of Concerned Scientists, in their expose titled: Smoke, Mirrors & Hot Air - How ExxonMobil Uses Big Tobacco's Tactics to Manufacture Uncertainty on Climate Science (2007) show how ExxonMobil waged the most successful and sophisticated global warming denial campaign since that of Big Tobacco's campaign against the dangers of smoking. In their 64 page document, they show that ExxonMobil:
- Manufactured uncertainty about climate change by raising doubts about even the most certain science.
- Used a tactic known as information laundering by using seemingly independent front groups that pretended to be doing science but were instead just waging public relations for the company. Virtually all of these front groups publicize the work of the same people and these people typically serve as board members or scientific advisors for each of these groups. This tactic creates the illusion that there are many organizations and many people with doubts about global warming.
- Funneled about $16 million to these front groups to manufacture this uncertainty.
- Paid guilt-less scientists to cherry-pick data and misrepresent peer-reviewed scientific evidence whereby these scientists then used this misinformation to persuade the general public and the media that there was still no scientific consensus.
- Shifted the focus away from global warming action by questioning if the data was "sound science".
- Used its extraordinary access to the Bush Administration to block regulation and to shape governmental communications about global warming.
These front groups and their spokespeople are listed below. (Some of these groups and people are discussed in more detail on this Web page below.) Click on any image to see a larger version that can be easily viewed.
Koch Industries: Secretly Funding the Climate Denial Machine
According to the Greenpeace document Koch Industries: Secretly Funding the Climate Denial Machine:
"Most Americans have never heard of Koch Industries, one of the largest private corporations in the country, because it has no Koch-branded consumer products, sells no shares on the stock market and has few of the disclosure requirements of a public company. Although Koch intentionally stays out of the public eye, it is now playing a quiet but dominant role in a high-profile national policy debate on global warming.
Koch Industries has become a financial kingpin of climate science denial and clean energy opposition. This private, out-of-sight corporation is now a partner to ExxonMobil, the American Petroleum Institute and other donors that support organizations and front-groups opposing progressive clean energy and climate policy. In fact, Koch has out-spent ExxonMobil in funding these groups in recent years. From 2005 to 2008, ExxonMobil spent $8.9 million while the Koch Industries-controlled foundations contributed $24.9 million in funding to organizations of the ‘climate denial machine’.
This report focuses on activities by Koch Industries and its affiliates, as well as the family—and company—controlled foundations which fund organizations that spread inaccurate and misleading information about climate science and clean energy policies. Included is research on the company and the Koch brothers, two of the top ten richest people in the United States."
The Organization of Denial: Conservative Think Tanks and Environmental Scepticism:
Dunlap & Freeman (2008) in their article The Organization of Denial: Conservative Think Tanks and Environmental Scepticism state:
Environmental scepticism denies the seriousness of environmental problems, and self-professed 'sceptics' claim to be unbiased analysts combating 'junk science'. This study quantitatively analyses 141 English-language environmentally sceptical books published between 1972 and 2005. We find that over 92 per cent of these books, most published in the US since 1992, are linked to conservative think tanks (CTTs). Further, we analyse CTTs involved with environmental issues and find that 90 per cent of them espouse environmental scepticism. We conclude that scepticism is a tactic of an elite-driven counter-movement designed to combat environmentalism, and that the successful use of this tactic has contributed to the weakening of US commitment to environmental protection.
They further state: Thus, the notion that environmental skeptics are unbiased analysts exposing the myths and scare tactics employed by those they label as practitioners of 'junk science' lacks credibility. Similarly, the self-portrayal of skeptics as marginalized 'Davids' battling the powerful 'Goliath' of environmentalists and environmental
scientists is a charade, as skeptics are supported by politically powerful CTTs funded by wealthy foundations and corporations.
A Few Examples of Organizations that Deny AGW:
The information below has been gleaned from the following sources:
Heartland Institute:
Sourcewatch: http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Heartland_Institute
Exxonsecrets: http://www.exxonsecrets.org/html/orgfactsheet.php?id=41
DeSmog Blog: http://www.desmogblog.com/taxonomy/term/1634 & http://www.desmogblog.com/research-sponsors-behind-heartlands-new-york-climate-change-conference
Wiki: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Heartland_Institute
- Heartland calls itself "a genuinely independent source of research and commentary," its has been a frequent ally of, and funded by, the tobacco and oil industry.
- Heartland Institute funded by Philip Morris and ExxonMobil
- Greenpeace's ExxonSecrets website lists Heartland as having received $676,500 (unadjusted for inflation) from ExxonMobil between 1998 and 2006
- The Heartland Institute created a website in the Spring of 2007, www.globalwarmingheartland.org, which asserts there is no scientific consensus on global warming and features a list of experts and a list of like-minded think tanks, many of whom have received funding from ExxonMobil and other polluters.
- The institute is a member organization of the Cooler Heads Coalition, an informal and ad-hoc group focused on dispelling the myths of global warming
- Heartland also co-sponsored a New York state Conference on Property Rights, hosted by the Property Rights Foundation of America. The Institute puts out several publications, including Environment & Climate News which frequently features anti-environmentalist and climate skeptic writing.
- They also published Earth Day '96, a compilation of articles on environmental topics. The publication, distributed on college campuses, featured Adventures in the Ozone Layer by S. Fred Singer, and the Cold Facts on Global Warming by Sallie Baliunas. The articles denied the serious nature of ozone depletion and global warming.
- Walter F. Buchholtz, an ExxonMobil executive, serves as Heartland's Government Relations Advisor, according to Heartland's 2005 IRS Form 990, pg. 15. http://www.guidestar.org/FinDocuments/2005/363/309/2005-363309812-0295fbb2-9.pdf
- The Heartland Institute formerly sponsored and hosted www.climatesearch.org, a web page ostensibly dedicated to objective research on global warming, but at the same time presenting heavily biased research by organizations such as the American Petroleum Institute as an FAQ section.
- In March 2008, and again in March 2009 the Heartland Institute sponsored an international conference bringing hundreds of global warming skeptics to New York City. Participants criticized the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and Al Gore.
- A bibliography written by Dennis Avery and posted on Heartland's Web site, titled "500 Scientists with Documented Doubts of Man-Made Global Warming Scares," included at least 45 scientists who neither knew of their inclusion as "coauthors" of the article, nor agreed with its claims regarding global warming. Dozens of the scientists asked the Heartland Institute to remove their names from the list. In response, the Heartland Institute refused to remove any names from the list. See: http://www.desmogblog.com/500-scientists-with-documented-doubts-about-the-heartland-institute
Some of Heartland's key quotes:
- 15 January, 2007: "Warming is likely to be very modest relative to natural variation, benefits are likely to outweigh costs, and taking action now in the name of fighting "global warming" is unnecessary and would be very costly."
- 16 April, 2007: "There is no consensus about the causes, effects, or future rate of global warming."
- From the various articles on the Heartland Institute's global warming page:
"There is no experimental data to support the hypothesis that increases in hydrocarbon use or in atmospheric carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases are causing or can be expected to cause unfavourable changes in global temperatures, weather, or landscape…….any number of things can influence earth's temperature. The list includes volcanic eruptions, variations in the amount of energy received from the sun, El Niños, and La Niñas - all of which are natural………we understand public anxiety about climate change, but are concerned that many of these much publicized predictions are ill-informed and misleading……….the media continue to uncritically accept and vigorously promote shrill global warming alarmism………after hundreds of millions of dollars spent on climate modeling, and decades of screaming headlines, we have no more certainty today about global warming prediction than we did decades ago………..if even a small part of the money spent trying to reduce carbon dioxide emissions were spent instead on fighting hunger or disease in Third World countries, millions of lives could be saved."(ClimateSight.org, 2009)
Heartland's publications make the following assertions about climate change:
- "Most scientists do not believe human activities threaten to disrupt the Earth's climate."
- "The most reliable temperature data show no global warming trend."
- "A modest amount of global warming, should it occur, would be beneficial to the natural world and to human civilization."
- "The best strategy to pursue is one of 'no regrets'.
Environment & Climate News
A monthly newsletter espousing very questionable science.
Climate Change Reconsidered: The 2009 Report of the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change
Edited by S. Fred Singer and Dr. Craig Idso and is the latest attempt by Heartland to discredit the well-established scientific consensus that humans are causing global warming. The publication claims that there were 35 contributors and reviewers. Of these 35, only 22 have credentials that relate to one of the climate sciences. Several of these people also do not have any published articles in peer-reviewed journals related to climate. 22 does not stack up well against the 800+ contributing and 450+ lead authors of the IPCC report.
As Carl Sagan often stated, "extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence." When the overwhelming majority of climate experts state that human activities have dominated modern climate change, the NIPCC should have shown extraordinary evidence to support its claim that nature and not human activity causes climate change. Of course, as with much of this document, the evidence is quite flimsy and never approaches that of extraordinary. Much of what is being represented in this document has been thoroughly discredited by experts in climate science at http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2008/11/not-the-ipcc-nipcc-report/ and http://www.realclimate.org/wiki/index.php?title=RC_Wiki.
For example, the document suggests that cosmic rays are influencing climate by contributing to low cloud formation with the following statement: "Empirical evidence suggests very strongly that the main cause of warming and cooling on a decadal scale derives from solar activity via its modulation of cosmic rays that in turn affect atmospheric cloudiness. According to published research, cosmic-ray variations are also responsible for major climate changes observed in the paleo-record going back 500 million years."
According to Pierce & Le Page (2007) observations from satellites and model simulations do not support the cosmic ray hypothesis as a major role in low cloud coverage and climate change. Realclimate.org has visited this topic several times with the most recent called Why the continued interest?.
Skepticalscience.com has also visited this topic and summarizes the lack of a link at the thread It's cosmic rays which concludes that the science says: "While the link between cosmic rays and cloud cover is yet to be confirmed, more importantly, there has been no correlation between cosmic rays and global temperatures over the last 30 years of global warming."
Regardless of which research one chooses to consider regarding cosmic rays, there is certainly not enough evidence to hang one's hat on when using this hypothesis to claim that nature and not humans are causing the modern day climate change. If there were many scientists showing irrefutable data to support this claim, then perhaps the NIPCC's claims might hold water. The cosmic ray hypothesis is certainly not "extraordinary evidence" and appears be nothing at all.
The final nail in the coffin of this report is that it actively promotes the Oregon Petition Project which is a complete fraud. One cannot take this report seriously for this single fact alone.
Legislator's Guide to Global Warming Experts
Advises that legislators "should oppose unnecessary and costly global warming programs."
Is the U.S. Surface Temperature Record Reliable?
Surfacestations.org claim that the U.S. temperature record is unreliable due to poor placement of monitoring stations.
Skeptic's Handbook
In 2008, with the help of the Heartland Institute, Joanne Nova (formerly on the payroll of Shell Oil) published The Skeptic's Handbook. The purpose of this document is to help climate change skeptics to defend their position that humans are not causing global warming.
How reliable is Joanne Nova's opinion? According to her own Website:
"Joanne Nova finished her Bachelor of Science degree with first class honours, A+ grades and prizes (at UWA) majoring in Microbiology, Molecular Biology and doing honours research into DNA markers for use in Muscular Dystrophy trials. She also has a Graduate Certificate in Science Communication from the ANU. Joanne worked for three years as an Associate Lecturer for the Graduate Diploma in Science Communication program at ANU." (Nova, 2009)
She certainly cannot be considered an expert in climate science nor has she done any research in the field. One must question why climate change skeptics use a publication from such a source? This publication is being addressed here because this document has gained much traction recently and the serious errors contained within must be corrected.
This document cites the Oregon Petition as proof that there is no scientific consensus. As mentioned previously, the Oregon Petition is fraudulent and is a purposeful attempt to mislead scientists into signing the petition.
Joanne Nova also lists fourteen scientists as "believers are becoming skeptics" along with some of their quotes. In the case of Dr. Joanne Simpson (JoNova spelled her first name Joanna) the document shows the following incomplete quote: “Since I am no longer affiliated with any organization nor receiving any funding, I can speak quite frankly.” Dr. Simpson's full statement can be found here. Of interest is the following excerpt from Dr. Simpson's full statement: "What should we as a nation do? Decisions have to be made on incomplete information. In this case, we must act on the recommendations of Gore and the IPCC because if we do not reduce emissions of greenhouse gases and the climate models are right, the planet as we know it will in this century become unsustainable. But as a scientist I remain skeptical."
Joanne Nova's source for this list of fourteen scientists is from Senator Inhofe who has assembled a list of "scientists" who are global warming skeptics. This dubious list is known as the "Inhofe 400". According to The Daily Green (2008) and Climate Progress (2007) Inhofe's list includes many people who are not climate scientists such as economists, the retired, TV weathermen, mathematicians, amateurs and industry spokespeople.
Because The Skeptic's Handbook endorses the Oregon Petition and Senator Inhofe's dubious list, one must conclude:
- Joanne Nova did not do her research or did so without due diligence.
- Joanne Nova is intentionally misleading the general public.
Either way, The Skeptic's Handbook is NOT a reliable source for discussing climate change.
The Skeptic's Handbook also lists four main reasons why man cannot be causing global warming. Each of these arguments is seriously flawed. The four points and their mistakes are detailed below:
- The Greenhouse Signature is Missing
According to the Handbook: "Weather balloons have scanned the skies for years but can find no sign of the telltale “hotspot”
warming pattern that greenhouse gases would leave. There’s not even a hint. Something else caused the warming." and "This is the knock-out blow. If greenhouse gases are warming the earth we are supposed to see the first signs of it in the patch of air 10 kilometers above the tropics. But this 'hot spot' just isn’t there."
Joanne Nova lists her source for this statement as Dr. David Evans who holds degrees in electrical engineering and mathematics but no degrees in any earth sciences. Dr. Evans published "The Missing Hotspot" on his Website at http://www.sciencespeak.com/MissingSignature.pdf. This publication was never submitted for peer-review and has never appeared in a legitimate science journal.
There are two flaws with this statement: 1) This hotspot is not a signature of the greenhouse effect – it is a signature of warming from any source, and 2) the hotspot is not missing. According to B.D. Santer et al. (2008): "Using state-of-the-art observational datasets and results from a large archive of computer model simulations, a consortium of scientists from 12 different institutions has resolved a long-standing conundrum in climate science – the apparent discrepancy between simulated and observed temperature trends in the tropics. Research published by this group indicates that there is no fundamental discrepancy between modeled and observed tropical temperature trends when one accounts for: 1) the (currently large) uncertainties in observations; 2) the statistical uncertainties in estimating trends from observations. These results refute a recent claim that model and observed tropical temperature trends “disagree to a statistically significant extent”. This claim was based on the application of a flawed statistical test and the use of older observational datasets."
Two other good resources on the so-called missing hot spot can be found at
Chris Colose's Skeptics/Denialists Part 2: Hotspots and Repetition and
Tim Lambert's David Evans doesn't even know what the hot spot is.
Increased CO2 emissions will result in a warmer lower atmosphere and a cooler stratosphere which is precisely what has been observed (see: Stratospheric Cooling). Recall that climate models cannot accurately predict the climate change observed in the past century by excluding greenhouse gas emissions due to human activities. When including these greenhouse gas emissions along with natural forcing, the models do predict today's climate. Therefore, today's climate is well explained by the measured increases in greenhouse gases.
- Ice Core CO2 Lag
According to the Handbook: "Instead of carbon pushing up temperatures, for the last half-a-million years temperatures have gone up before carbon dioxide levels. On average 800 years before. This totally threw what we thought was cause-and-effect out the window. Something else caused the warming."
Before human activities, CO2 was controlled by natural forcing mechanisms that took place over thousands of years. When the climate warmed, more CO2 entered the atmosphere. This increase in CO2 then accelerated the warming so CO2 may not have caused the initial warming but it definitely drove the climate later on. The "CO2 increase lags the temperature increase" argument is moot in today's world because human activities are now driving the CO2 change on very short time scales. CO2 concentrations are known accurately for the past 650,000 years. During that time, they varied between 180 ppm and 300 ppm. As of March 2009, CO2 is 385 ppm which took about 100 years to increase. For comparison, it took over 5,000 years for an 80 ppm rise after the last ice age. Higher values than today have only occurred over many millions of years. The Skeptic's Handbook is comparing apples to oranges. The unprecedented global warming experienced recently is well explained by the measured increases in greenhouse gases.
- Temperatures are Not Rising
According to the Handbook: "Satellites circling the planet twice a day show that the world has not warmed since 2001.
How many more years of NO global warming will it take? While temperatures have been flat, CO2 has been rising, BUT something else has changed the trend. The computer models don’t know what it is."
This statement is patently false! Satellite data "infers temperature" and is not a direct measurement of temperature. That is why there are several satellite temperature trends that are published - each uses its own algorithms to estimate temperature. As discussed in the Global Cooling page, GISS, HadCRU, RSS, and UAH represent the four organizations that publish online the global average temperature estimates. All four of these sets show that the planet was warmer between 1998 and 2008 than the previous decade so the assertion that there has been no warming since 2001 is incorrect. In the past few years the rate of warming has decreased but not the temperature. There has been no global cooling! One cannot cherry-pick a few years to try to prove a century's worth of rising temperatures is not occurring. The increased temperature trend since the 1880s is well-documented even though there have been some cooler years in that trend.
Here is a more technical analysis of why global temperatures have not "cooled since 1998" nor "cooled since 2001" as some global warming critics claim: Embarrassing Questions from the Open Mind Blog.
- Adding More CO2 Will Not Cause Much More Warming
According to the Handbook: "Adding twice the CO2 doesn’t make twice the difference. The first CO2 molecules matter a
lot, but extra ones have less and less effect. In fact, carbon levels were ten times as high in the past but the world still slipped into an ice age. Carbon today is a bit-part player."
Another patently false statement. For a detailed description of how carbon dioxide heats the atmosphere please visit
Realclimate.org's: A Saturated Gassy Argument. Today's climate is well explained by the measured increases in greenhouse gases.
Because The Skeptic's Handbook contains significant errors in its statements, one must conclude:
- Joanne Nova did not do her research or did so without due diligence.
- Joanne Nova is intentionally misleading the general public.
Either way, The Skeptic's Handbook is NOT a reliable source for discussing climate change. Increases in greenhouse gases from human activities can easily account for the increased trend in global temperatures over the past century. As mentioned often in this site, there are no other known mechanisms that can account for this unprecedented global warming on such a short time scale. Joanne Nova suggests that "something else must have caused it" but she never explains what this might be...because she cannot!
Joanne Nova ends The Skeptic's Handbook with the following statement which reveals the true motivation of her document: "An emissions trading scheme is a bad solution to a problem that’s gone, fighting a cause that never was ..." Doesn't this sound like it comes from the fossil fuel industry?
Competitive Enterprise Institute:
Sourcewatch: http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Competitive_Enterprise_Institute
Exxonsecrets: http://www.exxonsecrets.org/html/orgfactsheet.php?id=2
DeSmog Blog: http://www.desmogblog.com/taxonomy/term/1636
Media Matters: http://mediamattersaction.org/transparency/organization/Competitive_Enterprise_Institute/funders
Wiki: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Competitive_Enterprise_Institute
- It postures as an advocate of "sound science" in the development of public policy. However, CEI projects dispute the overwhelming scientific evidence that human induced greenhouse gas emissions are driving climate change.
- The Cooler Heads Coalition is chaired by former CEI director Marlo Lewis and directed by Myron Ebell, CEI's Director of Global Warming and International Environmental Policy. The Cooler Heads Coalition was formed on May 6, 1997, "to dispel the myths of global warming by exposing flawed economic, scientific and risk analysis."
- Known corporate funders in addition to ExxonMobil include the American Petroleum Institute, Cigna Corporation, Dow Chemical, EBCO Corp, General Motors, and IBM
- CEI twice sued the federal government to block the release of National Assessment of Climate Change. "The National Assessment's Overview and Foundation reports are important contributions to understanding the possible consequences of climate variability and change." -- National Research Council, 2004
- Received funding from GM and Ford for Web commercials that promote the health benefits of a greenhouse-rich atmosphere.
- In 2007 Exxon Mobil, under pressure from Royal Society of London, stopped funding CEI.
Looking at the documented major funders of the Competitive Enterprise Institute:
- Exxon Mobil: $1,690,000 (Media Matters);
- Scaife Foundations: $3,215,000 (Media Matters);
- Koch Foundations: $345,000 (Media Matters)
Documented Total for Exxon Mobil, Scaife, and Koch: $5,250,000
Sources of wealth:
- Exxon – oil;
- Scaife – Mellon industrial, oil, uranium and banking (SourceWatch);
- Koch – oil trading and refining, chemicals, process and pollution control equipment, meat and dairy, etc. (SourceWatch)
Fraser Institute:
See My Blog Post on Fraser Institute
Sourcewatch: http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Fraser_Institute
Exxonsecrets: http://www.exxonsecrets.org/html/orgfactsheet.php?id=107
DeSmog Blog: http://www.desmogblog.com/taxonomy/term/1644
Wiki: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fraser_Institute
- Fraser Institute has led the campaign to deny the science behind and the dangers of climate change, with several of its fellows and authors signing letters to political leaders and writing Op Eds to that effect.
- Published material skeptical of climate change science since at least 2001, which marks the publication of Global Warming: A Guide to the Science by Willie Soon and Sallie L. Baliunas. The abstract states: "There is no clear evidence, nor unique attribution, of the global effects of anthropogenic CO2 on climate."
- Kenneth Green held the positions of Chief Scientist and Director of Centre for Studies in Risk, Regulation, and Environment at the Fraser Institute from 2002 to 2005. While at the Institute, Kenneth Green published many anti-Kyoto and climate change skeptical articles, notably the "Science Isn't Settled: The limitations of climate change models", together with Tim Ball and Steven Schroeder.
- As reported in the Vancouver Sun: "The Fraser Institute received $120,000 US from ExxonMobil in 2003-'04, according to the company's annual report. [Fraser Institute President Michael] Walker said the funding paid for the work of researcher Ken Green."
- The Fraser Institute published a so-called Independent Summary for Policymakers (ISPM) on Feb. 5, 2007, just after the release of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Summary for Policy Makers (part of the Fourth Assessment Report on Climate Change).
- Fraser Institute's 'scientific' staff - which is led by an economist (Ross McKittrick) - includes a group of junior or retired scientists, most of whom have direct connections to energy industry lobby groups."
- Dr. Andrew Weaver, the Canada Research Chair in Climate Modelling and Analysis and a lead IPCC author, called the Independent Summary 'highly ideological.' While the Fraser Institute summary says, 'There is no compelling evidence that dangerous or unprecedented changes are underway,' Weaver counters: 'The IPCC report presents 1,600 pages of compelling evidence, that's the whole point.
- Realclimate.org issued a response to the ISPM, attacking its premises and detailing several errors and biases, and also made available a detailed critique in the form of an annotated version of the ISPM.
Publications:
Independent Summary for Policymakers (ISPM)
http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Independent_Summary_for_Policymakers - Sourcewatch's description of the flaws with this document
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2007/02/fraser-institute-fires-off-a-damp-squib/ - Realclimate's description of the flaws with this document
Understanding Climate Change - A shortened version of the ISPM.
Understanding Climate Change: Lesson Plans for the Classroom - Lesson plans based on the documents above that were distributed to thousands of school children across Canada and the U.S. They have no shame! See also: Fraser Institute pitching to students in latest attempt to cloud global warming evidence by DeSmog Blog.
An excellent blog post by Deep Climate about the Fraser Institute and its main funder, Michael Chernoff, can be located at:
Understanding climate with the Fraser Institute and Michael Chernoff
George C. Marshall Institute:
Sourcewatch: http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=George_C._Marshall_Institute
Exxonsecrets: http://www.exxonsecrets.org/html/orgfactsheet.php?id=36
DeSmog Blog: http://www.desmogblog.com/taxonomy/term/1660
Wiki: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_C._Marshall_Institute
- In their 2007 report, the Union of Concerned Scientists described the GMI as a "clearinghouse for global warming contrarians" funded by Exxon Mobil Corporation and employing the same strategy formerly used by the tobacco industry, repeatedly attacking the science behind the theory and insisting that there was actually a great deal of uncertainty and disagreement among scientists.
- GMI works on a range of issues, including civic environmentalism, climate change, national defense, bioterrorism, and missile defense. GMI publishes papers and holds "roundtables." Many of these roundtables have featured climate change skeptics such as Roger Bate, Willie Soon, Margo Thorning, and GMI's own Sallie Baliunas.
- In 1989, the Marshall Institute released a report arguing that "cyclical variations in the intensity of the sun would offset any climate change associated with elevated greenhouse gases." Although it was refuted by the IPCC, the report was used by the Bush Sr. Administration to argue for a more lenient climate change policy.
- GMI has since published numerous reports and articles attacking the Kyoto protocol and undermining the climate science.
- GMI is a former member of the Cooler Heads Coalition.
- According to Media Transparency.org, the Institute received $5,757,803 since 1985 from conservative foundations including the Castle Rock Foundation (Coors), Earhart Foundation, John M. Olin Foundation, the Sarah Scaife Foundation, Lynde and Harry Bradley Foundation, and the Carthage Foundation.
Global Climate Coalition:
Sourcewatch: http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Global_Climate_Coalition
Exxonsecrets: http://www.exxonsecrets.org/html/orgfactsheet.php?id=38
Wiki: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_Climate_Coalition
Andrew Revkin writes about the Global Climate Coalition in an April 2009 article:
A group representing industries with profits tied to fossil fuels, led an aggressive lobbying and public relations campaign against the idea that emissions of heat-trapping gases could lead to global warming. "The role of greenhouse gases in climate change is not well understood," the coalition said in a scientific "backgrounder" provided to lawmakers and journalists through the early 1990s, adding that "scientists differ" on the issue.
Its own scientific and technical experts were advising that the science backing the role of greenhouse gases in global warming could not be refuted. "The scientific basis for the Greenhouse Effect and the potential impact of human emissions of greenhouse gases such as CO2 on climate is well established and cannot be denied," the experts wrote in an internal report compiled for the coalition in 1995.
The coalition was financed by fees from large corporations and trade groups representing the oil, coal and auto industries, among others. In 1997, the year an international climate agreement that came to be known as the Kyoto Protocol was negotiated, its budget totaled $1.68 million, according to tax records obtained by environmental groups.
Exxonsecrets' List of Organizations Funded by ExxonMobil
Timothy Chase, a frequent poster on various climate blogs, has researched the various funding sources for organizations mentioned above and has graciously allowed me to post his results here. Total grants from various foundations to organizations that are also funded by Exxon:
Aggregated Grants of Scaife Foundations
Includes: Scaife Family Foundation, Carthage Foundation, Allegheny Foundation and Sara Scaife Foundation
http://www.exxonsecrets.org/index.php?mapid=1468
For the period from 1985 to 2006…
1. A Total of 41 organizations found in the Exxon Secrets database where each organization received at least $100,000.
2. Number of individuals belonging to multiple organizations according to the database: 148.
3. The total grants for all causes by Scaife Foundations for this period was $471,475,733 according to Media Transparency. Looking only at organizations that received $100,000 or more over this period that were in the Exxon Secrets database yields $121,418,540. As such, while only 41 of the 434 organizations that received total grant amounts of at least $100,000 were in the Exxon Secrets database, thus constituting only 9.45% of the 434 organizations, 27.75% of the grant money went to organizations that are in the Exxon Secrets database.
*
The Lynde and Harry Bradley Foundation, Inc.
http://www.exxonsecrets.org/index.php?mapid=1469
27 organizations on the Exxon list have received $100,000 or more from the Lynde and Harry Bradley Foundation from 1985-2005, with 95 individuals belonging to 2 or more of those organizations. The grand total given by the foundation to these 27 organizations for this period is $64,707,196.
*
Aggregated Grants from the Charles G. Koch, David H. Koch, and Claude R. Lambe Foundations
http://www.exxonsecrets.org/index.php?mapid=1467
20 organizations on the Exxon list have received $100,000 or more from the Koch/Lambe foundations from 1986-2004. Total number of individuals belonging to 2 or more of these organizations in the Exxon Secrets DB is 77. Total given: $36,815,538.
*
Coors Castle Rock Foundation
http://www.exxonsecrets.org/index.php?mapid=1466
18 organizations on the Exxon list having received $100,000 or more from the Castle Rock foundation from 1995-2006. A total of 69 individuals on the Exxon list that belong to 2 or more of these organizations. Total given $7,068,760.
*
The total funding from these sets of foundations going to organizations that also receive funding from Exxon and have been identified as part of the Exxon disinformation network: $230,010,034
Four sets of foundations (Scaife, Bradley, Koch and Coors) have given over $262,146,651 to disinformation organizations that attack climate science which are also funded by Exxon.
Timothy Chase also made available the lists of the organizations themselves and of the amounts that they received from each set of foundations, and links to the Web pages (Media Matters “Transparency,” Exxon Secrets, SourceWatch) for virtually all of the information. The list can be viewed here.
Notorious Industry-Funded Individuals
The people listed below include a very small sample of those individuals who for political and economic reasons are misleading the general public and our policy-makers. For a more complete list please see the Union of Concerned Scientists list near the top of this Web page. One can also look at the names listed at DeSmog Blog's people directory at:
http://www.desmogblog.com/directory/vocabulary/5 or just type a name into the search box on Exxonsecrets or SourceWatch.
S. Fred Singer:
Sourcewatch: http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=S._Fred_Singer
Exxonsecrets: http://www.exxonsecrets.org/html/personfactsheet.php?id=1
DeSmog Blog: http://www.desmogblog.com/people/fred-singer
Wiki: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fred_Singer
- According to the January 2007 report by the Union of Concerned Scientists called Smoke, Mirrors & Hot Air, Singer is affiliated with no less than 11 think tanks and associations that have received funding from ExxonMobil.
- Singer's own Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP) has received $20,000 from ExxonMobil.
- Singer recently co-authored a global warming denial book called Unstoppable Global Warming, with Dennis Avery, a "Senior Fellow" at an organization called the Hudson Institute, a US think-tank that has received funding from ExxonMobil.
- The 1995 "Leipzig Declaration," was a project of Fred Singer's Science and Environmental Policy Project and a group called the European Academy of Environmental Affairs. The declaration stated: "there does not exist today a general scientific consensus about the importance of greenhouse warming from rising levels of carbon dioxide." According to Sourcewatch, when a Danish journalist attempted to contact the 33 European scientists listed on the petition, 12 denied signing the petition and some had not even heard of the Leipzig Declaration. Of those that did admit to signing the letter, one was a doctor and another was an expert on flying insects. The declaration was then revised and many names were removed.
- The "Oregon Petition" was organized by Art Robinson and Fred Seitz. Seitz was the Chair of Fred Singer's SEPP project.
- The National Academy of Sciences declared: "The petition project was a deliberate attempt to mislead scientists and to rally them in an attempt to undermine support for the Kyoto Protocol. The petition was not based on a review of the science of global climate change, nor were its signers experts in the field of climate science."
- In his May 10, 2005 Guardian column, George Monbiot uncovered a story implicating Fred Singer in the spread of misinformation on the state of the world's glaciers. An expanded version of this story made it's way into Monbiot's best selling book, Heat. To summarize what Monbiot discovered:
Monbiot was researching climate change a couple of years ago and when he became nervous about what he thought was the manipulative nature of the "scientific debate." Then he found a letter by the UK climate change denier David Bellamy in New Scientist magazine. Bellamy reported that "555 of all the 625 glaciers under observation by the World Glacier Monitoring Service in Zurich have been growing since 1980." This was an interesting - and significant - piece of information. But when Monbiot phoned the World Glacier Monitoring Service, he also found that it was, in their indelicate words, "complete bullshit." Glaciers are retreating around the world. Monbiot chased all over in search of a source for this information. The claim appeared dozens of times in many different locations - but all trails seemed to lead back to the website of the Science and Environmental Policy Project. That's basically Dr. S. Fred Singer's home page. When people challenged Singer, he first lashed out, saying Monbiot "has been smoking something or other." But Singer finally conceded, in March 2005, that the information had originated on his site - posted there by "former SEPP associate Candace Crandall." Singer acknowledged that the information "appears to be incorrect and has been updated." "Updated," however, is different than "corrected." You could still find the claim on his website 18 months later. Singer also failed to mention that the bumbling former associate, Candace Crandall, is his wife.
- In the summer of 2009, Singer also organized a petition to get the American Physical Society to change its position on human causes of global warming. The petition failed. Read more about this story at DeSmog Blog.
 | Peter Sinclair's Climate Crock of the Week: That 1500 Year Thing
Climate Deniers S. Fred Singer and Dennis Avery make their living by confusing and obfuscating the science of climate change. Their latest book, "Unstoppable Global Warming every 1500 Years", is a compendium of vintage as well as cutting edge climate crocks. This video shows who they are and how they are bamboozling their audience. |
Dr. Frederick Seitz:
Sourcewatch: http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Frederick_Seitz
Exxonsecrets: http://www.exxonsecrets.org/html/personfactsheet.php?id=6
DeSmog Blog: http://www.desmogblog.com/taxonomy/term/1680
Wiki: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frederick_Seitz
- A former president of the National Academy of Sciences and of Rockefeller University.
- In 1978 he went to work for R.J. Reynolds Tobacco Co.
- He gave out $45 million in funds to scientists working on research to show that there was no link between smoking and cancer. Seitz admits to taking $900,000 for his efforts.
- In 1984 he co-founded the George C. Marshall Institute.
- In 1998, together with the Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine, Seitz circulated and gathered signatures for a petition (Oregon Petition, now called Petition Project) opposing the Kyoto Protocol. In addition to the petition, the mailing included what appeared to be a reprint of a scientific paper from Proceedings of the National Academy of Science (PNAS), and a letter from Seitz identifying himself as past president of the National Academy of Sciences. In fact, the petition, paper, and letter were entirely unrelated to the Academy, which issued a strong denunciation of the petition project as deliberately deceptive and an affirmation of the consensus in favor of the reality of anthropogenic global warming. Subsequent investigations of the signatories found a minority of them to be climate scientists, or even scientists of any kind. The web page of the petition itself states "31,478 American scientists have signed this petition, including 9,029 with PhDs."
Timothy Ball:
Sourcewatch: http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Timothy_Ball
Exxonsecrets: http://www.exxonsecrets.org/html/personfactsheet.php?id=1164
DeSmog Blog: http://www.desmogblog.com/people/tim-ball
Wiki: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timothy_F._Ball
Quit as Associate Professor at Univ. of Winnipeg in 1995 after authoring just four peer-reviewed journals - NONE of them in climate science.
He was spokesperson for Canada's Friends of Science - linked to fossil fuel companies.
Dr. Timothy Ball is Chairman and Chair of the Scientific Advisory Committee of the Natural Resources Stewardship Project (NRSP). Two of the three directors of the NRSP - Timothy Egan and Julio Lagos - are executives with the PR and lobbying company, the High Park Group (HPG). Both HPG and Egan and Lagos work for energy industry clients and companies on energy policy.
Ball is a Canadian climate change skeptic and was previously a "scientific advisor" to the oil industry-backed organization, Friends of Science.
Ball is a member of the Board of Research Advisors of the Frontier Centre for Public Policy, a Canadian free-market think tank which is predominantly funded by foundations and corporations.
In 2006 Ball has also questioned the science behind CFCs and the Ozone layer. Ball claimed that "CFC's were never a problem.... it's only because the sun is changing".
Ball has even argued that climate change and global warming would be good for us. "A warmer Canada would improve our lives in these and other ways too numerous to list. Global warming? Let's hope so," he wrote in June 2006.
In January 2007 in a column on the Canadian website, Straight.com, Mitchell Anderson wrote of Ball that "Over the past five years, he has published no less than 39 opinion pieces and 32 letters to the editor in 24 Canadian newspapers. Fifty of these pieces ran in papers owned by CanWest MediaWorks. These efforts totalled an incredible 44,500 words."
Among his unorthodox views, published as recently as last month in the Calgary Sun:
- Global temperatures have declined since 1998 in direct contradiction to computer models on which the Kyoto Accord is based.
- Ice-core records show that temperature rises before CO2 rises, not because of it.
- Evidence is mounting that pre-industrial levels of CO2 may have been much higher than the 280 parts per million assumed by environmentalists to have existed at that time.
- New research shows that changes in the energy output of the sun account for most of the recent warming and cooling of our planet.
- The primary evidence of human influence on climate, the famous 'hockey stick' temperature-trends graph of climatologist Michael Mann, has been debunked as manipulated and wrong."
Some more quotes from Ball:
- "Believe it or not, Global Warming is not due to human contribution of Carbon Dioxide (CO2). This in fact is the greatest deception in the history of science."
- "Yes, it warmed from 1680 up to 1940, but since 1940 it's been cooling down. The evidence for warming is because of distorted records. The satellite data, for example, shows cooling."
- "[The IPCC] report is the end product of a political agenda, and it is the political agenda of both the extreme environmentalists who of course think we are destroying the world. But it's also the political agenda of a group of people ... who believe that industrialization and development and capitalism and the Western way is a terrible system and they want to bring it down."
- "I'm not a conspiracy theorist and I hate being even pushed toward that, but I think there is a consensus conspiracy that's going on."
- "Many times I`ve been tempted to say why am I doing this? Why am I running my head into a concrete wall?" "If I had gone along with the prevailing wisdom, the funding would have been enormous. Instead, I'm accused of getting the money from the oil company, which is simply a lie." " I think that the truth is absolutely paramount, and if we abandon that, we`re lost. And I don`t care if people or the politicians choose to ignore me. That`s their choice. But what I don`t want is I don`t want them to ever be able to come back and say we weren`t told."
- "My whole career has been going around saying the climate changes all the time. Get used to it."
- "We now know for certain that the temperature changes before the CO2. And one of the fundamental assumptions that Gore doesn't understand is that in the theory of global warming due to humans is, as the CO2 goes up, the temperature will go up. Well, the ice flow records show it`s exactly the opposite."
Lord Christopher Monckton:
Sourcewatch: http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Christopher_Monckton
DeSmog Blog: http://www.desmogblog.com/taxonomy/term/1638
Wiki: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Christopher_Monckton,_3rd_Viscount_Monckton_of_Brenchley
- Christopher Monckton is the third Viscount Monckton of Brenchley and a former policy advisor to Margaret Thatcher during her years as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom.
- He is also a climate skeptic and has written articles for the Science and Public Policy Institute, The Guardian, and the American Physical Society claiming that global warming is neither man-made nor likely to be catastrophic.
- His critics, including The Guardian writer George Monbiot, point out that Monckton has only a "degree in classics and a diploma in journalism and...no further qualifications.
- Lord Monckton is also funding the distribution in British schools of the film, "The Great Global Warming Swindle," (see below) as part of a "counter-campaign to undermine the scientific consensus on climate change."
- Monckton also wrote a controversial article for the American Physical Society refuting the IPCC's conclusion that climate change is a largely human produced phenomenon. The APS, however, headlined the article with the disclaimer that "its conclusions are in disagreement with the overwhelming opinion of the world scientific community. The Council of the American Physical Society disagrees with this article's conclusions." Please see Arthur Smith's
A detailed list of the errors in Monckton's July 2008 Physics and Society article
- Dr. Barry Bickmore lists a rap sheet showing Monckton's many errors and false statements.
- It should be noted that Monckton has threatened many people, including me, for exposing his errors. My response to his threat may be viewed here.
Ian Plimer:
Sourcewatch: http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Ian_Plimer
Wiki: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ian_Plimer
- Professor of Mining Geology at the University of Adelaide, South Australia, and Emeritus Professor of Earth Sciences at the University of Melbourne.
- He is a global warming skeptic and has written the "denier's bible", a book called Heaven and Earth.
- He was described by columnist Phillip Adams of The Australian, Australia's biggest-selling national newspaper, as a "denialist poster-boy".
- Plimer is a director of three Australian mining companies: Ivanhoe Australia, a subsidiary of Bob Friedland's Ivanhoe Mines, CBH Resources, and Kefi Minerals. As part of his employment agreement with Ivanhoe, Plimer can forgo annual directors fees of $65,000 in return for a total of 100,000 share options "for nil consideration." The options are available in four installments on September 1 each year from 2008 through to 2011, subject to Plimer continuing in employment with the company. (Ivanhoe Australia, which has an interest in uranium exploration, stated in its 2008 prospectus that "one of the arguments for nuclear energy is its substantially reduced level of carbon emissions".) Plimer is also non-executive Director and Deputy Chairman of Kefi. He has 250,000 shares in Kefi which, at the early November 2009 value of 2.25 British pence, would be worth over $A10,106. Plimer also has options on 2,000,000 more shares which can be exercised at 3 pence prior to December 12, 2012. CBH Resources paid him $A125,000 in 2009 and $A181,003 in 2008. As of June 2009, Plimer had options on 3,569,633 CBH Resources shares. At the early November 2009 share price of .10, Plimer's options would be worth approximately $A356,963. However, CBH's annual report does not list details of what price, if any, the options would be available at or when they would have to be exercised by.
- Plimer claims that his mining company directorships have no impact on his beliefs. However, Plimer argues that the proposed Australian carbon-trading scheme could decimate the Australian mining industry, and "probably destroy it totally", as well as creating "massive unemployment".
- Plimer's denialist book on global warming was published in 2009 and sold about 20,000 copies in Australia and a similar amount in the USA. The book was universally panned by scientists as full of errors and even accused of plagiarism.
Heaven and Earth is a seriously flawed book:
Steven Milloy:
Sourcewatch: http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Steven_Milloy
Exxonsecrets: http://www.exxonsecrets.org/html/personfactsheet.php?id=881
DeSmog Blog: http://www.desmogblog.com/people/steve-milloy
Wiki: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steven_Milloy
- A columnist for Fox News and a paid advocate for Phillip Morris, ExxonMobil and other corporations.
- From the 1990s until the end of 2005, he was an adjunct scholar at the libertarian think tank the Cato Institute.
- Milloy runs the website Junkscience.com, which is dedicated to debunking what he alleges to be false claims regarding global warming, DDT, environmental radicalism and scare science among other topics.
- His other website, CSR Watch.com, is focused around attacking the corporate social responsibility movement.
- He is also head of the Free Enterprise Action Fund, a mutual fund he runs with tobacco executive Thomas J. Borelli, who happens to be listed as the secretary of the Advancement of Sound Science Center, an organization Milloy operates from his home in Potomac, Maryland.
- Milloy holds a B.A. in Natural Sciences from the Johns Hopkins University, a Master of Health Sciences in Biostatistics from the Johns Hopkins University School of Hygiene and Public Health, a Juris Doctorate from the University of Baltimore, and a Master of Laws from the Georgetown University Law Center.
- In January 2006, Paul D. Thacker, a journalist who specializes in science, medicine and environmental topics, reported in The New Republic that Milloy has received thousands of dollars in payments from the Phillip Morris company since the early nineties, and that NGOs controlled by Milloy have received large payments from ExxonMobil.
- The Junkscience web site was supposedly run by a pseudo-grassroots organization called The Advancement of Sound Science Coalition (TASSC), organized by APCO for Philip Morris, which initially paid ex-Governor Garrey Carruthers of New Mexico as a front. Milloy actually ran it from the back-room, and issued the press releases. Then when Carruthers resigned, Milloy started to call himself "Director." Bonner Cohen -- who also worked for APCO -- became "President."
- Initially all of this was funded by Philip Morris, but later PM broadened the focus to gather even more funding by garnering participation from energy, pharmaceutical, chemical companies. TASSC's funders include 3M, Amoco, Chevron, Dow Chemical, Exxon, General Motors, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Lorillard Tobacco, Louisiana Chemical Association, National Pest Control Association, Occidental Petroleum, Philip Morris Companies, Procter & Gamble, Santa Fe Pacific Gold, and W.R. Grace, the asbestos and pesticide manufacturers.
- TASSC was then exposed publicly as a fraud. And so Milloy established the "Citizens for the Integrity of Science" to take over the running of the Junkscience.com web site.
Senator James Inhofe:
Sourcewatch: http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=James_Inhofe
Exxonsecrets: http://www.exxonsecrets.org/html/personfactsheet.php?id=945
DeSmog Blog: http://www.desmogblog.com/people/jim-inhofe
Wiki: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Inhofe
- His most infamous quote: "As I said on the Senate floor on July 28, 2003, "much of the debate over global warming is predicated on fear, rather than science." I called the threat of catastrophic global warming the "greatest hoax ever perpetrated on the American people," a statement that, to put it mildly, was not viewed kindly by environmental extremists and their elitist organizations."
- James M. Inhofe has voted in favor of big oil companies on 100% of important oil-related bills from 2005-2007, according to Oil Change International. These bills include Iraq war funding, climate change studies, clean energy, and emissions.
- On April 28, 2004, Inhofe was honored for his "work in promoting science-based public policy" by the Annapolis Center for Science-Based Public Policy, a think tank that disputes the scientific consensus on the causes and magnitude of global warming. (The think tank has received $658,575 from ExxonMobil since 1998).
- James M. Inhofe has accepted $311,800 in oil contributions during the 110th congress. $160,800 of those dollars were from industry PACS. In total, Inhofe received $662,506 from oil companies between 2000 and 2008, which makes him a top recipient of oil money. In addition to oil, Inhofe has received $152,800 in coal contributions during the 110th Congress. $94,500 of those dollars were from industry PACS.
- He is also notorious for his Senate Minority Report on Global Warming which claims that almost 700 scientists doubt human caused global warming.
- A Center for Inquiry study revealed the following about the report:
- Slightly fewer than 10 percent could be identified as climate scientists.
- Approximately 15 percent published in the recognizable refereed literature on subjects related to climate science.
- Approximately 80 percent clearly had no refereed publication record on climate science at all.
- Approximately 4 percent appeared to favor the current IPCC-2007 consensus and should not have been on the list.
Leipzig Declaration on Global Climate Change
According to Wikipedia (2008) the Leipzig Declaration on Global Climate Change is a statement made in 1995, seeking to refute the claim there is a scientific consensus on the global warming issue. It was issued in an updated form 1997 and revised in 2005, claimed to have been signed by 80 scientists and 25 television news meteorologists while the posting of 33 additional signatories is pending verification that those 33 additional scientists still agree with the statement.
The declaration, which opposes the global warming hypothesis and the Kyoto Protocol, has appeared in two versions, both penned by Fred Singer of the Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP).
Global warming skeptics have hailed the declarations as a critical scientific turning point. Critics claim they were fraudulent publicity stunts and have questioned both the authenticity of the signatures and the credentials of the verifiable signers.
The 1995 declaration asserts: "There does not exist today a general scientific consensus about the importance of greenhouse warming from rising levels of carbon dioxide. On the contrary, most scientists now accept the fact that actual observations from earth satellites show no climate warming whatsoever." The latter statement was broadly accurate at the time, but with additional data and correction of errors, all analyses of satellite temperature measurements now show statistically-significant warming.
The declaration also criticized the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, saying: "Energy is essential for all economic growth, and fossil fuels provide today's principal global energy source. In a world in which poverty is the greatest social pollutant, any restriction on energy use that inhibits economic growth should be viewed with caution. For this reason, we consider 'carbon taxes' and other drastic control policies ... to be ill-advised, premature, wrought with economic danger, and likely to be counterproductive."
Although the key data on which the Leipzig declaration relied has been invalidated by subsequent research, and much new evidence has accumulated, the declaration continues to be cited, along with the Oregon Petition (see below) as evidence of the current views of scientists on climate change. Moreover, the organizers have not changed their stated position of rejecting anthropogenic global warming. (Wikipedia, 2008)
For more information please see: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leipzig_Declaration
Oregon Petition/Petition Project:
"Over 31,000 scientists reject global warming!" This statement is referring to The Petition Project, formerly known as the Oregon Petition. The petition is fraudulent nonsense.
Beginning in 1998 and continuing today, a petition has been circulated that asks people to sign a statement indicating that global warming is beneficial to mankind and that humans are not responsible for the current climate change observed today. The petition, organized by the Oregon Institute for Science and Medicine (OISM), includes a letter of support from Frederick Seitz, former President of the National Academy of Sciences, USA, along with a Wall Street Journal editorial and an article from The Journal of Physicians and Surgeons. This journal is not a peer-reviewed journal for climate science nor any other atmosphere-related field. In essence, anything published in this journal that relates to climate science must be considered "questionable" at best. The article was styled so that it appears with the exact same format, type, and font as those of the Proceedings of the Natural Academy of Sciences.
The National Academy of Sciences released the following statement regarding the OISM Petition:
"The petition project was a deliberate attempt to mislead scientists and to rally them in an attempt to undermine support for the Kyoto Protocol. The petition was not based on a review of the science of global climate change, nor were its signers experts in the field of climate science."
When questioned in 1998, OISM's Arthur Robinson admitted that only 2,100 signers of the Oregon Petition had identified themselves as physicists, geophysicists, climatologists, or meteorologists, "and of those the greatest number are physicists." This grouping of fields concealed the fact that only a few dozen, at most, of the signatories were drawn from the core disciplines of climate science - such as meteorology, oceanography, and glaciology - and almost none were climate specialists. The names of the signers are available on the OISM's website, but without listing any institutional affiliations or even city of residence, making it very difficult to determine their credentials or even whether they exist at all. OISM has refused to release information on the number of mailings it made.
As of October 2007, the petition project website includes an article by Arthur Robinson, Noah E. Robinson and Willie Soon, published in 2007 in the Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons - not a climate related journal in any sense.
Article from Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons sent with petition (click for larger view)
Neither of the Robinsons has published any articles in climate science journals. Willie Soon, an astrophysicist, has close ties to ExxonMobil funded front groups. Of course, no serious scientist would ever put his/her name on a "faked journal."
The science in this article is filled with errors and misleading statements. These errors are well-documented by
Michael MacCracken, Ph.D. (Chief Scientist for Climate Change Programs at the Climate Institute), by Realclimate.org, and others.
To summarize:
- Everything about this petition has been done in an unprofessional manner.
- Few of the signers of the petition are likely to be experts in climate science.
- The people involved with the petition have been funded by ExxonMobil.
- The article presented to show the science is NOT from a climate-related journal.
- There are major errors in the article that are well-documented.
Because this petition is still being circulated today, one would think that the OISM would support their dubious claims by including a recent article from a peer-reviewed climate-related publication. Because OISM has not done so, it speaks volumes to these unfounded claims. This petition can only be considered as fraud and any person who refers to this petition to bolster their claims should immediately be considered not credible.
For more information please see: Skeptical Science: Scrutinising the 31,000 scientists in the OISM Petition Project
The Great Global Warming Swindle:
The Great Global Warming Swindle is a documentary film that argues against the scientific consensus that global warming is "very likely due to the observed increase in anthropogenic (man-made) greenhouse gas concentrations". The film, made by British television producer Martin Durkin, showcases scientists, economists, politicians, writers, and others who are skeptical about the scientific theory of anthropogenic global warming. The program's publicity materials assert that man-made global warming is "a lie" and "the biggest scam of modern times." TGGWS (2009)
Although the documentary was welcomed by global warming skeptics, it was criticized heavily by many scientific organizations and individual scientists (including two of the film's contributors). The film's critics argued that it had misused and fabricated data, relied on out-of-date research, employed misleading arguments, and misrepresented the position of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Channel 4 and Wag TV (the production company) accepted some of the criticism, correcting a few errors in subsequent releases. However according to Bob Ward (former spokesman for the Royal Society), this still left five out of seven of the errors and misleading arguments which had been previously attacked by him and 36 other scientists in an open letter. TGGWS (2009)
As TGGWS (2009) documents, the film has been heavily criticized by experts in the field and by several scientists that were tricked into appearing in the movie. Most of the claims made in this film, including the cosmic ray hypothesis, have been seriously questioned or thoroughly debunked. The Great Global Warming Swindle is now available on DVD, has been seen by millions and is also available on YouTube where it has quite a following.
For more information please see The Great Global Warming Swindle Wiki.
The Massive Conspiracy Argument:
In his 2004 science fiction novel, State of Fear, the late Michael Crichton describes a world where global warming is a hoax perpetuated by a secretive group of eco-terrorists that kill any scientist that reveals himself to be a global warming skeptic. Of course, the book is FICTION but the average reader, without knowing the science of climate change, is left believing that there may be a massive conspiracy to promote global warming for profit's sake.
More disturbingly, this absurd belief is being promoted by television (ex. The Great Global Warming Swindle), right-wing ideologues such as Rush Limbaugh, fossil-fuel industry-backed organizations such as The Heartland Institute, and the NIPCC document among others.
Some of the statements appearing in the NIPCC (2008) include:
- The IPCC is pre-programmed to produce reports to support the hypotheses of anthropogenic warming and the control of greenhouse gases
- (IPCC) was an activist enterprise from the very beginning. Its agenda was to justify control of the emission of greenhouse gases, especially carbon dioxide.
- From the very beginning, the IPCC was a political rather than scientific entity, with its leading scientists reflecting the positions of their governments or seeking to induce their governments to adopt the IPCC position.
- Certainly its agenda to find evidence of a human role in climate change is a major reason; its organization as a government entity beholden to political agendas is another major reason; and the large professional and financial
rewards that go to scientists and bureaucrats who are willing to bend scientific facts to match those agendas is yet a third major reason.
One can simply play devil's advocate to quickly dismiss these claims. If the IPCC truly misrepresented the facts due to politics one must consider the following:
- If the research from hundreds of scientists were misrepresented by the IPCC due to political considerations, where is the massive backlash by these scientists who have been "wronged"? The IPCC Fourth Assessment has been publicly available for over two years now. Why do the overwhelming majority of scientists support the IPCC findings if in fact they are not a true representation of the current science?
- The Bush Administration made it no secret that it believed global warming may not be real and that it was questionable that human activities could play a major role in climate change. How was it possible for hundreds of American scientists to get funding if the NIPCC's claim were true that these scientists were reflecting the positions of their governments? Surely during the eight year tenure of the Bush Administration, climate change skeptics should have dominated the literature - instead the evidence that human activities were causing unprecedented global warming was cemented.
Any reasonable person who carefully considers all the evidence must conclude that there is no conspiracy nor any real incentive to delude billions of people about climate change. To the contrary, there is a large financial incentive for the fossil fuel industry to promote the massive conspiracy argument because to combat climate change humans must reduce the use of fossil fuels.
More information about the unfounded notion that there is a global warming hoax can be found at Global Warming Conspiracy Theory Wiki.
Cory S. Powell, Editor-in-Chief of Discover magazine, interviewed four top climate scientists in an article titled The Big Heat (2009). One of these scientists is Ken Caldeira who is a professor at Stanford and a staff member of global ecology at the Carnegie Institution of Washington. Caldeira has studied issues such as ocean acidification, intentional intervention in climate systems, mass-extinction events, and the scale of change needed to address the current carbon-driven climate problems. Ken Caldeira summarizes the culture of true scientists with the following statement:
There was a climate change contrarian who testified before the Senate last week. He made the claim that climate scientists were some kind of club and they all made money by somehow supporting each other's findings. The reality of science is that a scientific career is made by showing that all of the people around you believe something that's not true. If a scientist could provide evidence that the climate theory is incorrect and that global warming is not a product of human activities, he or she would be held up as the Darwin or Einstein of climate science. We're highly incentivized to show that all our colleagues are wrong. If we could come up with good evidence that they're wrong, we would be out there publishing it. The evidence just doesn't exist.
So we are left with three possible conclusions:
- An overwhelming majority of international climate experts agree about much of the tenets of AGW and are honest.
- An overwhelming majority of international climate experts are ignorant about their own expertise in a sudden and collective manner.
- They have all agreed to conspire to delude the billions of folks on the planet and just a very tiny percentage of them (mostly oil-funded and unpublished) are trying to save us all from this mass hoax.
Common sense and a sense of probability should lead one to the likely correct choice above. The first person to show proof of what IS causing the modern day global warming and that it is not AGW is likely to be the next Nobel science winner.
Climate Change IS a Duck:
If it looks like a duck, walks like a duck, and quacks like a duck, then we need to call it a duck. Those that knowingly mislead the public about global warming are happy to tell us that it is most certainly not a duck. Please read The Duck for a brilliant allegory.
Many of the "contrarian arguments" one might run across are scientifically debunked at:
Skeptical Science: Examining Global Warming Skepticism
Coby Beck's:
How to Talk to a Climate Sceptic
RealClimate.org's FAQ page: Responses to common contrarian arguments
Next: Global Warming Misinformation
Scott A. Mandia
Professor -
Physical Sciences
T-202 Smithtown Sciences Bldg.
S.C.C.C.
533 College Rd.
Selden, NY 11784
(631) 451-4104
mandias@sunysuffolk.edu
http://www2.sunysuffolk.edu/mandias/
Last updated: 06/21/11